Greatness may not look like greatness at first glance, even to you. When success comes knocking at your door, it’s not likely to arrive with fireworks and fanfare. It’s likely to arrive as an invitation to a thousand hours of brutal failure. It’s the person you never expected making the offer nobody in their right mind would accept.
That’s why it’s so uncommon. In its infancy it’s indistinguishable from garbage.
I’m not even convinced that it’s possible to tell when it’s all going to go right. More information might help, but it also might lead to false confidence.
The best strategy seems to be to say yes to things until something works.